Prediction Thread

[hobbsyoyo]

I can call the very first prediction!

My prediction is about the results of the United States Air Force's (USAF) launch competition which should wrap up in Q1 of 2020. The USAF is having a competition to see which rocket companies will be able to sell rides to it for national security missions. They will pick two winners with a 60/40 split between them for contracts. The competitors are:

ULA with the Vulcan-Centaur rocket

Spoiler :

Blue Origin with the New Glenn Rocket

Spoiler :

SpaceX with Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy and/or Starship

Spoiler :

Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems and the OmegA rocket

Spoiler :

I predict that the winners of the competition will be ULA and Northrop. I also predict that the rational from the Air Force is going to be that SpaceX is viable on purely commercial sales and is already certified for USAF launches and thus is a freebie back-up third option. The subtext will be that ULA is not viable without military launches and OmegA can survive on scraps (executives there say they can make profit with only two launches a year and they have a track record of achieving similar results) should the budget for military launches collapse.

I was wrong, the USAF picked ULA for 60% of the contract and SpaceX for 40%!

I am sure there will be multiple protests and lawsuits going forward.

Anyone else got predictions to call?

 

[Naskra]

Biden will take his oath of office on one knee.

 

[Sommerswerd]

If elected, Biden will stutter, stammer, confuse words, or otherwise botch the delivery of his Oath of Office.

 

[Narz]

Biden will take his oath of office on one knee.

That would be so tacky

 

[Lohrenswald]

Biden is going to win the election but then die before inauguration

 

[EgonSpengler]

Prediction: Daniel Cormier is going to win back the UFC Heavyweight belt from Stipe Miocic, then defer his retirement so he can face Francis Ngannou.

 

[El_Machinae]

The thread title is an allusion to my prediction that we'll have a treatment for colourblindness by 2018.

But here's the recent breakthrough. Nature is reporting that a team of researchers have cured colourblindess in two monkeys using a gene therapy technique. I haven't read the actual paper yet, just the popularisation.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/09/colortherapy/

 

[Sommerswerd]

That would be so tacky

It would also meaning kneeling at Justice Roberts feet... so... no.

 

[hobbsyoyo]

If elected, Biden will stutter, stammer, confuse words, or otherwise botch the delivery of his Oath of Office.

That'll be John Roberts botching the Oath like he did with Obama.

 

[onejayhawk]

If elected, Biden will stutter, stammer, confuse words, or otherwise botch the delivery of his Oath of Office.

Biden is going to win the election but then die before inauguration

Fortunately, we will be spared these faux pas. Trump takes the oath and once again declares war on most of the people on stage with him.

That'll be John Roberts botching the Oath like he did with Obama.

This is possible.

J

 

[Naskra]

Prediction: The Trump Organization will file Chapter 7 before the end of 2021.

 

[Phrossack]

Prediction: Joe Biden will not be declared the winner on Election Night.

Instead, either Trump wins outright due largely to the destruction of the Post Office and mass armed intimidation at the polls, or the ballots will continue to be counted for some time. Trump and the conservative media will immediately declare this is part of a sinister plot to dethrone him, and declare victory. Regardless of the outcome, Trump will declare he refuses to leave office, and will urge "Second Amendment folks," in his words, to defend him, invoking the Insurrection Act to quell any protests against him while police nationwide look the other way when heavily armed right-wing protesters rally and threaten political opponents. Riots break out, along with radical right-wing militias coordinating with ICE, CBP, and the DHS to break up or gun down groups of political opponents. This is met with the usual level of outrage from the public, but not more, since the American public is split between the fanatically Trumpist, the pathologically indifferent, the closet conservatives, the disheartened liberals, and the ever-impotent left.

The military will obey Trump as he will remain the President for some time regardless.

The virus will drag on as a major public health threat well into 2022. Although vaccines begin to show promise in early 2021, massive resistance to vaccines hamstrings their effectiveness in the US and other antivaxxer hotspots.

Ruth Bader Ginsberg ceases to be a justice by late 2020 or early 2021, either through retirement or death. She is replaced by a younger, extremely partisan justice personally loyal to the Trumpist cause and who rules in favor of the conservative side without regarding the legality of it.

 

[cardgame]

I don't like this

 

[GoodEnoughForMe]

Global warming largely goes untreated and in 150-300 years, we bump into the upper range of current model temperature increases, causing the single most disruptive and destructive period in human history since european colonization.

It's not my fault you won't be here to see this come true

 

[tuckerkao]

Prediction: Joe Biden will not be declared the winner on Election Night.

Instead, either Trump wins outright due largely to the destruction of the Post Office and mass armed intimidation at the polls, or the ballots will continue to be counted for some time. Trump and the conservative media will immediately declare this is part of a sinister plot to dethrone him, and declare victory. Regardless of the outcome, Trump will declare he refuses to leave office, and will urge "Second Amendment folks," in his words, to defend him, invoking the Insurrection Act to quell any protests against him while police nationwide look the other way when heavily armed right-wing protesters rally and threaten political opponents. Riots break out, along with radical right-wing militias coordinating with ICE, CBP, and the DHS to break up or gun down groups of political opponents. This is met with the usual level of outrage from the public, but not more, since the American public is split between the fanatically Trumpist, the pathologically indifferent, the closet conservatives, the disheartened liberals, and the ever-impotent left.

The military will obey Trump as he will remain the President for some time regardless.

The virus will drag on as a major public health threat well into 2022. Although vaccines begin to show promise in early 2021, massive resistance to vaccines hamstrings their effectiveness in the US and other antivaxxer hotspots.

Ruth Bader Ginsberg ceases to be a justice by late 2020 or early 2021, either through retirement or death. She is replaced by a younger, extremely partisan justice personally loyal to the Trumpist cause and who rules in favor of the conservative side without regarding the legality of it.

People need to remember to vote either in person or from the mail-in. You decide the future, don't let the future decides you, every vote matters.

Don't wait until the very last minute because your votes may not be counted, so vote as early as possible.

 

[Phrossack]

Prediction: Joe Biden will not be declared the winner on Election Night.

Instead, either Trump wins outright due largely to the destruction of the Post Office and mass armed intimidation at the polls, or the ballots will continue to be counted for some time. Trump and the conservative media will immediately declare this is part of a sinister plot to dethrone him, and declare victory. Regardless of the outcome, Trump will declare he refuses to leave office, and will urge "Second Amendment folks," in his words, to defend him, invoking the Insurrection Act to quell any protests against him while police nationwide look the other way when heavily armed right-wing protesters rally and threaten political opponents. Riots break out, along with radical right-wing militias coordinating with ICE, CBP, and the DHS to break up or gun down groups of political opponents. This is met with the usual level of outrage from the public, but not more, since the American public is split between the fanatically Trumpist, the pathologically indifferent, the closet conservatives, the disheartened liberals, and the ever-impotent left.

The military will obey Trump as he will remain the President for some time regardless.

The virus will drag on as a major public health threat well into 2022. Although vaccines begin to show promise in early 2021, massive resistance to vaccines hamstrings their effectiveness in the US and other antivaxxer hotspots.

Ruth Bader Ginsberg ceases to be a justice by late 2020 or early 2021, either through retirement or death. She is replaced by a younger, extremely partisan justice personally loyal to the Trumpist cause and who rules in favor of the conservative side without regarding the legality of it.

One prediction fulfilled. The next sentence will be within days.

 

[aimeeandbeatles]

Ruth Bader Ginsberg ceases to be a justice by late 2020 or early 2021, either through retirement or death.

You need to stop making predictions.

 

[Sommerswerd]

I predict the Republicans will ram a replacement Justice through and shamelessly hand wave all their prior "election year" excuses for holding up the Garland nomination.

 

[Ajidica]

I predict the Republicans will ram a replacement Justice through and shamelessly hand wave all their prior "election year" excuses for holding up the Garland nomination.

Tell me more predictions, All-Seeing Nostradamus!

 

[amadeus]

At this point the number of things I’ve gotten wrong is so great, just immediately you should assume the opposite of X thing will occur.

• Biden? No, he has no chance of winning the nomination after finishing 4th in Iowa.
• Coronavirus? No, that won’t be a big problem outside of Red China.
• Justice Ginsburg? No, she’ll be on the court for at least another 2-3 years.

I need shore up my success rate from zero. Therefore, I predict:

• Someone will, perhaps a Republican or a Democrat, win an elected position where the outcome is as if yet contentious.
• Some people will still enjoy sports, or computer games, or both.
• Something that is in fashion now will eventually go “out of style” and something else will become more popular.

There! Can’t screw those up!