EgonSpengler
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- Jun 26, 2014
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I'm listening to a radio program with my local District Attorney about a study of criminal justice in Suffolk County that produced some interesting results:
WBUR, 29 March 2021 - "Not Prosecuting Low-Level Crimes Leads To Less Crime In Suffolk County, Research Finds"
I'm gonna have to sit with that for a minute, but right off the top of my head, it certainly seems to support the idea that putting people "in the system" - to use some Law & Order lingo - may be tremendously counter-productive, even at the level of nonviolent misdemeanors. A 'zero tolerance' policy - which was a big part of the "broken windows" theory of crime prevention instituted in Boston and New York City - may actually be truly dangerous.
From the study by researchers at Rutgers University, Texas A&M University, and New York University:
WBUR, 29 March 2021 - "Not Prosecuting Low-Level Crimes Leads To Less Crime In Suffolk County, Research Finds"
Let's say that again: People arrested but NOT prosecuted are less likely to commit another crime than people who are prosecuted.WBUR said:People arrested but not prosecuted on low-level, nonviolent misdemeanors — like shoplifting, drug possession or motor vehicle offenses — were 58% less likely to commit another crime in Suffolk County in the following two years, according to the study.
I'm gonna have to sit with that for a minute, but right off the top of my head, it certainly seems to support the idea that putting people "in the system" - to use some Law & Order lingo - may be tremendously counter-productive, even at the level of nonviolent misdemeanors. A 'zero tolerance' policy - which was a big part of the "broken windows" theory of crime prevention instituted in Boston and New York City - may actually be truly dangerous.
From the study by researchers at Rutgers University, Texas A&M University, and New York University:
So this suggests that people who commit a minor crime aren't likely to seek promotion to the "big leagues" and commit greater crimes if their criminal tendencies aren't nipped in the bud. This also suggests that announcing an intention not to prosecute these crimes did not embolden a group of nascent shoplifters, drug users, litterbugs and jaywalkers who were only being kept in check by a fear of the legal consequences.We find that, for the marginal defendant, nonprosecution of a nonviolent misdemeanor offense leads to large reductions in the likelihood of a new criminal complaint over the next two years. These local average treatment effects are largest for first-time defendants, suggesting that averting initial entry into the criminal justice system has the greatest benefits. We also present evidence that a recent policy change in Suffolk County imposing a presumption of nonprosecution for a set of nonviolent misdemeanor offenses had similar beneficial effects: the likelihood of future criminal justice involvement fell, with no apparent increase in local crime rates.