[RD] Russia Invades Ukraine: Eight

"We live in a society" :/
Imo the horse allusion covers that too - as you can also see the horse as the people who (for their own reasons) think that those companies are secondary or incidental, while safety is the reason behind how reactionary the Eu has become in the issue of Ukraine. Deep down, they all want to imagine they aren't a horse, but the gentleman flogger; but flogging never was the defining trait of being a non-horse.
Who said they were secondary or incidental?

It's messy. The arms industry profits on both sides, though. All sides, even. No point finger wagging at supporting Ukraine. Not unless you oppose the entire system, at which point we're back to who is worse.

Going to have to go with "the imperialistic power illegally invading a lesser power". You'll find my position pretty consistent, too.
 
Moderator Action: And back to news please. Opinions of opinions do not belong here. Thanks.
 

Putin begins biggest Russian military call-up in years​

President Vladimir Putin has called up 160,000 men aged 18-30, Russia's highest number of conscripts since 2011, as the country moves to expand the size of its military.

The spring call-up for a year's military service came several months after Putin said Russia should increase the overall size of its military to almost 2.39 million and its number of active servicemen to 1.5 million.

That is a rise of 180,000 over the coming three years.

Vice Adm Vladimir Tsimlyansky said the new conscripts would not be sent to fight in Ukraine for what Russia calls its "special military operation".

However, there have been reports of conscripts being killed in fighting in Russia's border regions and they were sent to fight in Ukraine in the early months of the full-scale war.

The current draft, which takes place between April and July, comes despite US attempts to forge a ceasefire in the war.

There was no let-up in the violence on Tuesday, with Ukraine saying that a Russian attack on a power facility in the southern city of Kherson had left 45,000 people without electricity.

Russia also claimed to have captured another Ukrainian village, at Rozlyiv in the Donetsk region.

Russia calls up conscripts in the spring and autumn but the latest draft of 160,000 young men is 10,000 higher than the same period in 2024.

Since the start of last year, the pool of young men available for the draft has been increased by raising the maximum age from 27 to 30.

As well as call-up notices delivered by post, young men will receive notifications on the state services website Gosuslugi.

Quite apart from its twice-yearly draft, Russia has also called up large numbers of men as contract soldiers and recruited thousands of soldiers from North Korea.

Moscow has had to respond to extensive losses in Ukraine, with more than 100,000 verified by the BBC and Mediazona as soldiers killed in Ukraine.

The true number could be more than double.

Putin has scaled up the size of the military three times since he ordered troops to capture Ukraine in February 2022.

Russia's defence ministry linked the December 2023 increase in the size of the military to "growing threats" from both the war in Ukraine and the "ongoing expansion of Nato".

Nato has expanded to include Finland and Sweden, as a direct result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Finland has Nato's longest border with Russia, at 1,343km (834 miles) and Prime Minister Petteri Orpo said on Tuesday that his country would join other states neighbouring Russia in pulling out of the Ottawa convention banning anti-personnel mines.

Poland and the Baltic states made similar decisions two weeks ago because of the military threat from Russia.

Orpo said the decision to resume using anti-personnel mines was based on military advice, and that the people of Finland had nothing to worry about.

The government in Helsinki also said defence spending would be increased to 3% of economic output (GDP), up from 2.4% last year.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c36718p52eyo
 
Russian Lieutenant Colonel Alexey Selivanov at the Russian event called the Club of People's Unity:

"We need to remove this artificial idea of a Ukrainian nation, and say that we are all Russian. Ukrainianization is reversible. If the Ukrainian nation is a political construct, it can be reversed by education.

Yes, they won't let us do it now in Ukraine, not with any signed agreements. But God gives us a chance. A bloody chance, a hard chance. It's called a 'special military operation'. Where Russian troops come, Ukrainianism ceases to exist in a non-violent and natural way.

If there is a Ukrainian nation there, it exists only in the person of awaiters and saboteurs who blow up our policemen. There is no Ukrainian nation there anymore. And it will be the same in other liberated regions. Those who do not want to stop the existence of the Ukrainian nation, they will die or leave. They join the Ukrainian Armed Forces."

 

Russian Negotiator Dmitriev to Meet Envoy Witkoff in Washington​

US special envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to meet in Washington with senior Russian negotiator Kirill Dmitriev, according to a person familiar with the plans, an effort to smooth over tensions after President Donald Trump vented frustration with counterpart Vladimir Putin.

Trump told NBC News over the weekend that he was “pissed off” with the Russian president and threatened secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian oil if Putin refused a ceasefire with Ukraine, rare public criticism of Moscow by the US president.

Dmitriev, 49, runs Russia’s sovereign wealth fund and has played an important role in talks between the US and Russia. His presence in the US capital highlights the prospects of greater business cooperation between the two countries on potential projects, including in the Arctic and on liquefied natural gas. He’s a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. investment banker who was educated at Stanford and Harvard Universities and has ties to Putin’s family.

 
Good write up here, mandatory reading for Steve Witkoff.

Trump’s Illusions About Russia​

Trump may believe he can personally convince Putin to make concessions. However, this confidence is likely misplaced. Trump fundamentally underestimates Russia’s negotiation tradition and overestimates his own deal-making skills.
Unlike the transactional, take-it-or-leave-it approach that Trump prefers, Russia has mastered a disciplined, hard-nosed, and highly strategic negotiation playbook. The Kremlin’s approach involves:
  • Maximizing initial demands to shape the battlefield of negotiations.
  • Delaying concessions as long as possible.
  • Using psychological pressure, including intimidation and unpredictability.
  • Employing ambiguity, vagueness, and repetition to wear down the other side.
  • Controlling the pace and timing of negotiations to its advantage.
This is not a process where a simple, hurried “deal” will emerge overnight. Instead, Russia will prolong negotiations, extract maximum concessions, and ensure that any agreement locks Ukraine into a vulnerable, subordinate position.

(...) it is highly likely that Trump will fail to achieve his promised “immediate peace” and, as in the past, reverse his own claims and abandon his supposed strategy.
 
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Putin begins biggest Russian military call-up in years​

(...)

Since the start of last year, the pool of young men available for the draft has been increased by raising the maximum age from 27 to 30.

As well as call-up notices delivered by post, young men will receive notifications on the state services website Gosuslugi.
That's a biggie - up untill now most conscripts were able to avoid the draft by simply not being home when the commissar came knocking, or hiding under the bed or something, in future they may actually have to join the army and die.


Russia has also implemented a registry for electronic draft notices, with the notices going out across the country from April 1, 2025. This system is intended to make it harder for draft-eligible men to avoid military service — as previously, military summons had to be delivered in person.

With the digital database, a draft notice is automatically considered served one week after its posting. From that moment, the conscript cannot leave the country. If he fails to appear at the enlistment office within 20 days, he will face legal restrictions including a driving ban and being disqualified from taking out loans and selling or buying real estate.
 
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