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Trump’s Illusions About Russia
Trump may believe he can personally convince Putin to make concessions. However, this confidence is likely misplaced. Trump fundamentally underestimates Russia’s negotiation tradition and overestimates his own deal-making skills.
Unlike the transactional, take-it-or-leave-it approach that Trump prefers, Russia has mastered a disciplined, hard-nosed, and highly strategic negotiation playbook. The Kremlin’s approach involves:
This is not a process where a simple, hurried “deal” will emerge overnight. Instead, Russia will prolong negotiations, extract maximum concessions, and ensure that any agreement locks Ukraine into a vulnerable, subordinate position.
- Maximizing initial demands to shape the battlefield of negotiations.
- Delaying concessions as long as possible.
- Using psychological pressure, including intimidation and unpredictability.
- Employing ambiguity, vagueness, and repetition to wear down the other side.
- Controlling the pace and timing of negotiations to its advantage.
(...) it is highly likely that Trump will fail to achieve his promised “immediate peace” and, as in the past, reverse his own claims and abandon his supposed strategy.
That's a biggie - up untill now most conscripts were able to avoid the draft by simply not being home when the commissar came knocking, or hiding under the bed or something, in future they may actually have to join the army and die.Putin begins biggest Russian military call-up in years
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Since the start of last year, the pool of young men available for the draft has been increased by raising the maximum age from 27 to 30.
As well as call-up notices delivered by post, young men will receive notifications on the state services website Gosuslugi.
Russia has also implemented a registry for electronic draft notices, with the notices going out across the country from April 1, 2025. This system is intended to make it harder for draft-eligible men to avoid military service — as previously, military summons had to be delivered in person.
With the digital database, a draft notice is automatically considered served one week after its posting. From that moment, the conscript cannot leave the country. If he fails to appear at the enlistment office within 20 days, he will face legal restrictions including a driving ban and being disqualified from taking out loans and selling or buying real estate.
KYIV, April 8 (Reuters) - President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Tuesday that Ukrainian forces had captured two Chinese men fighting on Russia's side in eastern Ukraine, potentially threatening a fragile peace effort in the three-year-old war.
Beijing is a close ally of Moscow but is not publicly known to have directly aided in the Kremlin's full-scale invasion.
Writing on X, where he posted a video of one of the men, Zelenskiy said Kyiv has "information suggesting that there are many more Chinese citizens in the occupier's units" and that he had ordered officials to obtain a response from Beijing.
The Chinese foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.
Zelenskiy did not say whether Ukraine believed the men were operating on Beijing's orders.
"Russia's involvement of China, along with other countries, whether directly or indirectly, in this war in Europe is a clear signal that Putin intends to do anything but end the war," Zelenskiy wrote.
He added that the captured men had documents confirming their identification, and added that Ukrainian intelligence and security officials were currently "verifying all the facts".
KYIV, April 8 (Reuters) - Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever said on Tuesday his government had decided to grant Ukraine a new bilateral aid package of one billion euros ($1.10 billion) in 2025, adding that he had the ambition to deliver the war-torn country at least that same amount every year during his term.
Thales is reportedly the only company worldwide developing, manufacturing and supplying a complete rocket system, including fire control systems, weapons and ammunition. It is specialized in the field of air-to-ground 70mm rocket systems.
Thales Belgium has signed a memorandum of understanding with a Ukrainian firm to co-produce counter-drone missiles.
The Ukrainian entity’s identity was not revealed due to security concerns.
The Saboteur is a quadplane, which is a combination of a eVTOL and a winged aircraft. It can take-off and land like a helicopter, making it easy to operate from anywhere, but it also has wings for long distance flight.
With its range of up to 400 km, the Saboteur UAV can go far beyond the front lines to carry out its mission.
After its mission, the UAV returns home for resupply, making it extremely cost-effective.
KYIV, April 6 (Reuters) - A Russian missile attack on Kyiv killed one man and injured three other people overnight, causing damage and fires in several districts in the biggest such attack on Ukraine for weeks, Ukrainian officials said on Sunday.
- Zelenskiy says attacks show Russia's unwillingness to end war
- Firefighters try to put out fires at badly damaged buildings
- Poland scrambles aircraft after airspace warnings from Ukraine
The strike was the first large-scale attack using missiles and drones since the U.S. said late last month it had negotiated two ceasefire accords with Russia and Ukraine, including one that would on each other's energy infrastructure.
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said ongoing attacks showed Russia did not want to end the three-year-old war.
"Such attacks are Putin's response to all international diplomatic efforts. Each of our partners - America, the whole of Europe, the whole world - has seen that Russia is going to continue to fight and kill," he said on the Telegram messaging app.
In a separate statement he said that he had instructed the defence and foreign ministers to intensify talks with partners, especially the U.S., on the supply of air defence equipment.
Russian forces used ballistic and cruise missiles launched from both strategic bombers and naval fleets, as well as drones, during the overnight attack, Ukraine's air force said.
Zelenskiy called for increased manufacturing of air defence systems and missiles, suggesting that such production should be established in Ukraine.
Andriy Yermak, Zelenskiy's chief of staff, posted a video of firefighters trying to put out fires at badly damaged buildings.
Zelenskiy said that over the past week, Russia had launched more than 1,460 guided aerial bombs, nearly 670 attack drones and more than 30 missiles of various types against Ukraine.
He said Kyiv was waiting for U.S. reaction to Putin's refusal to agree to Washington's proposal to establish a full ceasefire, which Ukraine had previously agreed to.
POLAND ON HIGH ALERT
Warnings from the air force of an attack including regions bordering Poland forced the neighbouring NATO-member country to scramble aircraft to ensure air safety.
Poland has been on high alert for objects entering its airspace since a stray Ukrainian missile struck the southern Polish village of Przewodow in 2022, killing two people.
In Kyiv, several loud explosions were heard overnight.
Fires broke out in at least three districts of Kyiv, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said in a Telegram post.
"The body of a man killed in an enemy attack was found in Darnytskiy district (of Kyiv). He was on the street, near the epicentre of the explosion," Klitschko said.
The Sunday strikes on Kyiv came after officials in the southern region of Mykolaiv reported three people had been injured in Russian strikes. A day earlier, a Russian attack killed at least 19 people including nine children in the Ukrainian city of Kryvyi Rih.
There was no immediate comment from Russia. Both sides deny targeting civilians in the war that Russia started with a full-scale invasion of its smaller neighbour. Thousands of civilians have died in the conflict, the vast majority of them Ukrainian.
U.S. President Donald Trump, who took office in January after pledging he would end the war in 24 hours, has sought to broker an end to the conflict.
KYIV, April 6 (Reuters) - Three women were injured and several fires broke out in a Russian air attack on the southern Ukrainian region of Mykolaiv late on Saturday, Ukraine's officials said.
The attack - a day after least 19 people, including nine children, were killed in strikes on the city of Kryvyi Rih - also damaged several houses, Mykolaiv Governor Vitaly Kim posted on the Telegram messaging app.
One of the women was hospitalised, and the other two were treated on outpatient basis, Ukraine's State Emergency Service said. It posted photos and videos of firefighters battling flames in a house at night.
There was no immediate comment from Russia. Both sides deny targeting civilians in the war that Russia started with a full-scale invasion on its smaller neighbour three years ago. Thousands of civilians have died in the conflict, the vast majority of them Ukrainian.
U.S. President Donald Trump, who took office in January after pledging he would end the war in 24 hours, has sought to broker an end to the conflict. The U.S. last week late last month it had agreed with Russia and Ukraine two ceasefire accords, including one that would on each other's energy infrastructure.
KRYVYI RIH, Ukraine, April 5 (Reuters) - A Russian attack killed at least 19 people including nine children in the Ukrainian city of Kryvyi Rih on Friday, local officials said, but Russia's Defence Ministry said it targeted a military gathering there.
- Russian strike hits President Zelenskiy's hometown
- Subsequent drone attack hits homes, kills one
- Russian Defence Ministry says it hit military gathering
- Images show bodies lying on pavements
- More than 50 people wounded, including small baby
The Ukrainian military denounced the Russian statement as misinformation.
Serhiy Lysak, the regional governor, wrote on the Telegram messaging app that a missile hit residential areas, killing 18, and sparked fires. Later, Russian drones attacked homes and killed one person, Oleksandr Vilkul, the city's military administrator, said.
Pictures posted online showed bodies of the dead and wounded lying on the pavement as grey smoke rose into the sky.
Russia's Defence Ministry, in a post on Telegram, said a "high-precision strike" had targeted "a meeting of unit commanders and Western instructors" in a restaurant.
"As a result of the strike, enemy losses total up to 85 servicemen and officers of foreign countries, as well as up to 20 vehicles," the ministry said on Telegram.
U.S. President Donald Trump, who took office in January after pledging he would end the war in 24 hours, has sought to broker an end to the conflict. The U.S. said last week it had agreed with Russia and Ukraine two ceasefire accords, including one that would halt strikes on each other's energy infrastructure.
Rescue workers toiled through the night with flashlights in Kryvyi Rih, moving around wrecked cars, buildings with shattered windows and a gaping crater. Residents carried armloads of foil and timber for emergency home repairs, according to a Reuters eyewitness.
Using their mobile phones for light, some people registered at help centres.
"There were dead children lying there, crying parents, it was horrible," Yulia, 47, told Reuters as she surveyed the damaged blinds, fixtures and furniture in her apartment.
The strike on President Volodymyr Zelenskiy's hometown was one of Moscow's deadliest this year in the conflict, launched with the Kremlin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
At least 50 people were wounded, the emergency services said, adding that the figure was growing. More than 30 people, including a three-month-old baby, were in hospital, Lysak said.
Russia denies targeting civilians, but thousands have been killed and injured in the invasion.
The General Staff of Ukraine's military said the attack showed that Russia "is in no way seeking peace, but rather intends to continue its invasion and war to destroy Ukraine and all Ukrainians."
In his nightly video address, Zelenskiy called on the West to exert greater pressure on Moscow.
On Friday, each side accused the other again of flouting the energy-infrastructure ceasefire.
Russia's Defence Ministry accused Ukraine of attacking Russian energy facilities six times in the past 24 hours.
Zelenskiy said Russia had launched a drone attack on a thermal power plant in Ukraine's city of Kherson on Friday.
KYIV, April 10 (Reuters) - Russian drones attacked the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv and the southern city of Mykolaiv overnight, injuring at least 12 people, authorities said on Thursday.
Two women were injured in the capital, where drones also sparked a fire at a storage facility and damaged residential buildings, the Kyiv city military administration said.
The Ukrainian air force said it shot down 85 out of 145 drones launched by Russia during its overnight attack. Another 49 did not reach their targets likely due to electronic warfare countermeasures, it said.
It did not specify what happened to the remaining 11 drones.
Authorities recorded 30 drones in the airspace over the capital, 16 of which were destroyed and the rest either left the airspace or were "lost".
The overnight attack also injured 10 people in the southern city of Mykolaiv, its regional governor Vitalii Kim said.
The Russian assault also damaged nine apartment buildings, 30 garages and an administrative building, he added.
Russia denies targeting civilians but thousands have been killed and injured in its invasion of Ukraine.