2020 US Election (Part One)

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Exit polling in California shows Sanders by ten. That's nowhere near the blowout he needs I don't think. That would have been good until Biden won Virginia so big and kept Texas close.

It's also California he was favored to win there.
 
my god USA polling sucks, as of Feb 26th they had Sanders first in Mass at 25% and Biden in 5th with 9%

A lot changed since Feb 26. On Feb 26 Biden had performed poorly in three states and his whole "best man to beat Trump" message was looking ridiculous. Then he overperformed all expectations in South Carolina, and a bunch of candidates and major figures endorsed him and coming into today his "best man for the job" position was pretty solidly reestablished.
 
CNN calls Mass for Biden...pointing out that he as yet has not campaigned there...spending a total of $11,000 there.
 
Spoiler Meow :
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Dexter for VP!!!!?
 
The fact that Bernie inexplicably lost what was supposed to be a layup in Minnesota is extremely significant. Klobuchar reportedly mobilized her whole staff to get out the vote for Biden... you better believe she is going to come collecting later.
Secretary of State Klobuchar?
 
Third place finish for Warren in her home state? And she’s going to keep running? Shine on you crazy diamond!

Secretary of State Klobuchar?
I was thinking Energy Secretary but I think she lacks conviction. I heard Hunter has a few of those. :mischief:
 
Secretary of State Klobuchar?
Department of Ag. Her entire "I can win Republican voters" is because she knows how to bribe farmers.
 
Third place finish for Warren in her home state? And she’s going to keep running? Shine on you crazy diamond!

If she keeps running she sees herself as Biden's VP candidate. She has plenty money to hang in for a while, but she's not going to be getting much more. If I were on her team I would be looking for an opening where she can say "Biden is our candidate and it is time for everyone to recognize it" in her exit speech without it looking like anything less than recognizing an obvious fact.
 
If she keeps running she sees herself as Biden's VP candidate. She has plenty money to hang in for a while, but she's not going to be getting much more. If I were on her team I would be looking for an opening where she can say "Biden is our candidate and it is time for everyone to recognize it" in her exit speech without it looking like anything less than recognizing an obvious fact.
Warren is unlikable, in her 70s, and from a state the Democrats win every four years. She’s my perfect choice for Biden’s veep pick.
 
Department of Ag. Her entire "I can win Republican voters" is because she knows how to bribe farmers.
Ah, I didn't know that particular detail. Your politics is even more South American than I already thought them to be.
 
Warren is unlikable, in her 70s, and from a state the Democrats win every four years. She’s my perfect choice for Biden’s veep pick.

She's the bridge that takes some of the steam out of the "why not Bernie" tantrum. She can also claim to have concessions on policies, since really she has done better promoting Sanders' policies than he has.

Meanwhile...Bloomberg has called a meeting tomorrow with all his key advisors to assess whether his campaign is on a course to accomplish his objectives. Keeping in mind that his intention was to take up for a stumbled out Joe Biden, not to undercut Biden and pave the road for Sanders, there is a serious possibility of him dropping out. He has said that if he didn't win his entire operation; hundreds of offices and thousands of staffers, is paid for through November and will support the nominee. If he drops early those offices and people are not gonna sit around and wait for a nominee...and Bloomberg ain't gonna put them to work for Sanders. If he drops tomorrow and puts all that into the Biden campaign I will be starting to think it's over.
 
Ah, I didn't know that particular detail. Your politics is even more South American than I already thought them to be.
Since the 30s that has always been how Democrats* win farmers.

*And Republicans, because Republican opposition to Big Government doesn't seem to extent to dropping $24 billion on bribes to farmers to cover up Trumps ridiculous trade war.
 
Biden just closed the gap and passed Sanders in Texas. Whether that holds or not, Texas is gonna be murderously close and that is going to make it a null in delegates...but if Biden can claim victory in Texas that's gonna leave a mark.

EDIT: Since we do seem to have posters who are totally dedicated to find things I get wrong to blather about I figure I should help them out. Somewhere along the line I know that I supported the popular belief that Sanders appeal to young voters would lead to him getting better splits in election day vote than he would get in the early vote, so when he was ahead his margins would grow as the count when on and when he was behind he would close the gap.

I was TOTALLY wrong. The election day splits are apparently much better for Biden than the early vote splits. Biden is gaining late across the board.

Added note: Texas voter suppression efforts have people standing in line six hours after the polls are supposed to be closed. Indication is it's not working. People will vote anyway you GOP turdbuckets, and hopefully they will remember who has them standing out there all freakin' night.
 
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Bidens gonna be the nominee? Welp, guess it's another 4 years of Trump then.

Other than the bitter tears of a Sanders supporter, is there anything you could shed on this theory? Trump is about the most vulnerable incumbent of all time and I see no indication that there is anyone in the running to be the Dem nominee that won't be expected to beat him handily.
 
Bidens gonna be the nominee? Welp, guess it's another 4 years of Trump then.

It's not over for Bernie but he didn't knock Biden out.

He's no longer the front runner and Biden isn't DoA.

Meanwhile in Greece I can hear weeping.

Logically though if Sanders can't win a nomination with the mist favorable crowd he can get, I don't see how he would do any better in the general.

Bernies not down and out and there's a lot more delegates up for grabs in more progressive states.

I wouldn't be calling it yet.
 
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