aelf
Ashen One
Don't really care. Go back to batting for the Republicans.
2020 US Election (Part Two)
- Thread starter Lexicus
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bernie14
Filter Manipulator
So straight up non concern variety
hobbsyoyo
Deity
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Not really, at least not officially. States do not release any information on results until after the polls close on election night to keep from tipping the scales.
All indications from polling organizations show that a huge number of Democrats have voted early whereas most Republicans will vote on election day. There have been a few articles/polls suggesting a few individual areas have more Republican early-vote turnout than Democratic, but the overwhelming majority of available polling data points to the opposite - massive Democratic early turnout, with potentially record-breaking overall turnout. On years with high turnout, Democrats tend to dominate.
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Surely this is peculiar to the U.S. of A., because here we vote on Sundays and use schools, primary and secondary, and so you rarely have to walk more than 10 blocks. At most it might take one hour off your Sunday.
hobbsyoyo
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Suppression of the vote by various machinations is as big an issue as lack of motivation to go out and vote. In the year or two leading up to 2018, the Republican party of Georgia managed to remove as many people from their voting rolls as there are people in some smaller states.
CELTICEMPIRE
Zulu Conqueror
Why is my post on the last page awaiting moderator approval? I've been a member of CFC for over a decade now.
Moderators take money to approve posts. Why do you think I still make less than 1000 euro/month?
Cloud_Strife
Deity
amadeus
Bishop of Bio-Dome
On the “lighter” side of the election, anyone else finding it gosh-darned* exhausting talking with family members about it?
I’ve got one side convinced Trump is a Nazi, and the other that Biden is a communist. I just try to avoid the topic altogether, but it comes up somehow and I end up having to try and convince them that things are not as bad as they make them out to be—even when they are polar opposites!
TV news rots the forkin’* brain.
*my internal choice of words varies from the written ones
I’ve got one side convinced Trump is a Nazi, and the other that Biden is a communist. I just try to avoid the topic altogether, but it comes up somehow and I end up having to try and convince them that things are not as bad as they make them out to be—even when they are polar opposites!
TV news rots the forkin’* brain.
*my internal choice of words varies from the written ones
Happily no.
Brexit and Bojo remain subjects of division within my family but nobody can stand Trump.
Nevada polls are fairly bad (they were predicting Heller would get reelected in 2018). But they are one of the few states where analysing early voting and mail-in voting, doesn't end up completely falling on its face. In 2018 this guy accurately predicted the Democratic wins in the state. Now
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3
Democrats have built up a massive lead in the state, one much larger than the one that saved their bacon in 2016, when Trump had a last minute surge. Now the lead is higher, and there are fewer voters left for election day.
Anyway the polls,
At 538 in 2016, the Clinton lead was less than 3%. I wasn't paying nearly as much attention back then, but I don't really remember that coming through in terms of media attention.
Now, 8.6%. Even if all undecided, break to Trump, it is a clear Biden win. And polling shows undecided are younger and less white than the average.
And the National polls were pretty close to the actuals, once you factor in undecideds. 2012 had a much larger actual national error. The issue in 2016 was state polls, which led Clinton and the media to falsely believe she had a blue wall, and a EC advantage, instead of a disadvantage.
Or look here is the RCP no tossup average. Clinton was only at 272, while Biden is at 350.
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3
Democrats have built up a massive lead in the state, one much larger than the one that saved their bacon in 2016, when Trump had a last minute surge. Now the lead is higher, and there are fewer voters left for election day.
Anyway the polls,
At 538 in 2016, the Clinton lead was less than 3%. I wasn't paying nearly as much attention back then, but I don't really remember that coming through in terms of media attention.
Now, 8.6%. Even if all undecided, break to Trump, it is a clear Biden win. And polling shows undecided are younger and less white than the average.
And the National polls were pretty close to the actuals, once you factor in undecideds. 2012 had a much larger actual national error. The issue in 2016 was state polls, which led Clinton and the media to falsely believe she had a blue wall, and a EC advantage, instead of a disadvantage.
Or look here is the RCP no tossup average. Clinton was only at 272, while Biden is at 350.
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Yes. Tuesday (or, probably mid-December, who am I kidding) can't come soon enough.
The state of NY thinks differently. And Mueller never even looked at Trump's money trails. The Trump family is fighting awfully hard to stymie any and all investigations into the Trump organization finances. So far both Trump U and the Trump Foundation were found to be totally crooked. Insurance fraud and the illegal transfer of his father's wealth are both on the table. As soon as he can no longer use the US DOJ for his defense, his fatty goose flesh will be cooked. And wait until they take a look at his inaugural funding: $100 million spent without any accountability or public records.
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amadeus
Bishop of Bio-Dome
Any Trump investigations should be left to state AGs anyway; Biden blowing his Politics Mana on the guy that’s already lost? Pfft, that’s just whizzing away a victory. He’s already got the coronavirus to contend with—the postmortem of Trump’s presidency is a federal nonissue.
Lock her up!
Mrs. Clinton remains a free citizen. Trump, despite bumbling almost everything else, didn’t blow it on trying to nail the Clintons (whether their wrongdoings were fiction or not.)
I still want to know what the heck Susan McDougal was hiding though.
Lock her up!
Mrs. Clinton remains a free citizen. Trump, despite bumbling almost everything else, didn’t blow it on trying to nail the Clintons (whether their wrongdoings were fiction or not.)
I still want to know what the heck Susan McDougal was hiding though.
Estebonrober
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I agree with this actually. Biden should not touch Trump with a proverbial 50 ft pole.
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