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Ukraine's Conscription Crisis: Violence and Mass Exodus
Shootings, assaults and over 100,000 fleeing underscore deepening draft resistance amid war
In Ukraine, which has been at war for 3 years and 8 months against Russia’s full-scale invasion, discontent and resistance surrounding military mobilization (conscription) are growing. Amid increasing numbers of young people avoiding conscription by staying indoors or fleeing abroad, violent incidents targeting conscription officers have even occurred.
On the 30th of last month, a man opened fire at a personnel replenishment office in Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast, central Ukraine, injuring two soldiers on duty. The man was reportedly escorted to the office by a mobilization officer and police, and suddenly pulled out an old Soviet-made pistol during a belongings inspection and began firing indiscriminately. The Kyiv Independent reported, “Police have subdued and arrested the suspect at the scene and are investigating the motive and source of the firearm.”
On the same day, a conscription officer was assaulted in Odesa, a southern port city. A physical altercation broke out between citizens and those conducting conscription activities at a market, injuring several people and overturning a conscription vehicle. Authorities stated, “This was an act of violently obstructing legal personnel recruitment activities,” and began searching for the fleeing suspects.
In Ukraine, men aged 25 and older are currently subject to conscription. The age was originally 27 but was lowered by two years in April of last year as the war prolonged and manpower shortages worsened. However, with insufficient results in bolstering troop numbers, the intensity of conscription has increased. In major cities like the capital Kyiv and western Lviv, conscription officers have been seen patrolling restaurants, shopping malls, and concert venues where young people gather, detaining eligible men. Scenes of young men pleading, “Please let me go,” and struggling as they are dragged away have spread on social media, worsening public opinion. The Telegraph (UK) reported, “An increasing number of young people are refraining from going out to avoid being caught by conscription officers.”
Some have chosen to flee abroad entirely to avoid conscription. In particular, after travel restrictions for men aged 18 to 22 were lifted in August, over 100,000 young people fled to Europe. It is estimated that a total of 600,000 Ukrainian men have fled abroad since Russia’s invasion in February 2022. During this process, cases were detected where border guards secretly smuggled conscription evaders out of the country in exchange for money. The government is also focusing on recruiting volunteers. Earlier this year, it introduced an incentive system offering interest-free housing loans to volunteers aged 18 to 24, and in July, it enacted a law allowing citizens aged 60 and older to enlist. However, the recruitment rate is reportedly less than half of the target.
According to local media, the average age of Ukrainian soldiers is 43 years old—over five years higher than the Russian forces, estimated to be around 38. The aging of combat troops has reached a serious level as many soldiers who volunteered early in the war have either died or withdrawn due to injuries. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has appealed for a fight to the end, stating, “If we retreat, the nation itself will disappear,” but the younger generation, who directly bear the cost of war, is changing their perception. In a September poll conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS), 58% of men in their 20s responded that “there is no need to maintain the conscription system.”
The U.S. and Western countries are advising the Ukrainian government to lower the conscription age to 18, stating, “To maintain the current frontline, the manpower shortage must be resolved first.” While the government maintains its opposition, citing the need to “protect future generations,” analyses suggest it is actually concerned about worsening public opinion.
Ukraines Conscription Crisis: Violence and Mass Exodus Shootings, assaults and over 100,000 fleeing underscore deepening draft resistance amid war
www.chosun.com