I think Zara and Alexander are 50/50 on this map, with the latter running over the former not so unlikely. Sadly, Justinian built Shwedagon and founded five religions yet could not make a big move in time to counter Hellenism. I think this had a lot to do with that early Barbarian archer, if you recall. Justinian would have settled to the northeast, but the archer scared him, making the coast with iron less attractive. De Gaulle's disappointing performance should also be noted.
He should mention Justi's weaknesses as well..teching Divine Right, delayed mining with bfc gold.
I mean that's why warmongers have a chance, teching fast doesn't give auto-wins if you sit on 8 cities.