Edmund Ironside
White Rabbit Object
Does that factor in the fact that Democrats usually need a significant lead just to get close to a tie?
I wouldn't say a Dem has a fair shot at winning unless they were several points ahead. A dead heat equals a Republican advantage.
Maybe this is referencing that the Democrats did better than the polls predicted in the southwest in 2016. So if this trend continued, then the polls being a dead heat in Texas would be good news for a Democrat win in the state (as there was a 3% swing to the Democrats in Texas in 2016). In the same way that dead heats according to the polls in Ohio & Iowa (as there is currently), would likely still suggest a Trump win. Then again pollsters claim to have fixed the issues from 2016, so who knows. On the national level, yes, Biden will need to be up several percent to win, as has been shown multiple times in the past, a Democratic candidate winning the popular vote may not cut the mustard!
Using my highly scientific straw polling of rural, western PA yard signs I'd say Trump is drawing dead here.
Fingers crossed Biden can win in PA. Otherwise will likely need to win in Florida, and you never want to rely on Florida in a presidential elections, particularly not with the supreme courts the way they currently are!
I haven't seen many signs in West Michigan. In Grand Rapids there are slightly more Biden signs, and outside of it, slightly more Trump signs (so no change there from last time). I feel like there are less signs then in 2016, but that may be just due to the pandemic reducing events where signs are given out, rather then a decrease in enthusiasm. I've seen people point to the massive crowds that Trump drew in West Michigan when he visited recently, as well as some massive long Trump car rallies that have been held, as evidence that Trump may win in Michigan. However the west of Michigan is always going to vote heavily for the Republican candidate, but if the east side of the state comes out in force then that doesn't really matter. Since 2000 Republican presidential candidates in Michigan always gets around 2.2 million votes, what fluctuates is how many people turn out to vote for the Democrat candidate.
my midwestern family (Ohio) won't have anything to do with Indian food. I used to have a roommate from Ohio and anytime we would invite him out to go eat Indian or Thai or anything other than Americana, he'd say "Guys I'm from Ohio man... I like meat and potatoes, just plain meat and potatoes, that's it."
Me & my wife cooked her parents first a traditional Indian meal, and then a traditional English meal, they much preferred the latter! In fairness traditional Midwest food is much closer to the latter then the former.