While the situation in the Middle East stabilized (in the inevitable preparation before high entropy and destabilization) that in Europe itself was beginning to look like it was getting out of control again, or at least decidedly more interesting than it had been. The Kingdom of Iberia had been seriously weakened by the death of King Tancred in 1120, which threw the country into a four-way civil war, with the Castilians gleefully meddling and seizing small chunks of territory right and left; finally in 1125 King Sancho II began a concerted offensive against Norman Iberia, operating from his Toledo base to break apart most of the remaining Norman factions and successfully capturing the remaining possible Hauteville heirs to the throne. By 1128 he was in control of all Iberia save the portion of Al-Andalus that had been awarded to the Caliphate by the now gone Iberians; the Balearics fell easily enough as well and Sancho settled down to commence integration of the conquered territories. The Normans themselves, exhausted from the civil war, were virtually gone and easy enough to get rid of; the Muslims were something else and decidedly harder to integrate, and a series of forced conversions almost brought the Castilians to war with the Caliphate in the mid-1130s. The expulsion of the Normans, though, was the straw that broke the camel's back on the subject of peace in Western Europe; the renegade knights didn't head for the Holy Land, or even France to regain their old patrimony they saw an opportunity in Ireland and they took it. In a remarkably similar fashion to the conquest of Iberia itself a century before, Roger of Hauteville [9] landed at Cork and with his small body of about a thousand knights managed to construct a Norman Kingdom of Ireland, playing the warring factions against each other and marrying into Irish nobility (or what passed for it), even being acclaimed High King after the untimely death of Tairrdelbach mac Ruaidri Ua Conchobair in 1133. Roger's efforts to strengthen and centralize Ireland didn't go too well initially (obviously enough); outside of Connaught his authority was rather miniscule if the other Kings recognized it at all. The Normans attempted to abolish the privileges of the other Kings one by one, isolating them and rewarding the others with relatively useless titles or gifts. Eventually, after seven years of ceaseless internecine warfare (which Roger himself encouraged so as to have a reasonable pretext for warfare with his massively superior Norman knights), Ireland was reasonably centralized as compared with say Scotland and England. The King began to cast his eyes westwards, towards the rapidly shrinking Welsh territories and the near-constant civil wars in Scotland...just waiting for an opportunity to present itself. And in Scandinavia, the new King of Norway, Sigurd II, had recently triumphed after a fifteen year long civil war that provided a handy opportunity to clarify the succession laws of that kingdom, and cast his eyes once more to the old Norwegian spheres of influence in the British Isles.
France, after undergoing another round of civil warfare even inside the Royal demesne, was once again decentralizing, this time for a brief and fruitless war against the similarly feudal English in Normandy. King Louis VII was forced to fight the Angevin family, which was rapidly gaining prominence in many former Hauteville domains as well as Brittany; another conflict was likely in the offing.
The Holy Roman Empire was reasonably quiescent, continuing its
Ostsiedlung policy in Poland and reasonably centralized; after a brief renewed conflict with the various angry nobles, Emperor Conrad III (who had had to fight for his own election, which happened after he was made Holy Roman Emperor by the Pope) had managed to get his descendants more or less acknowledged as the legitimate, non-elective Kings of Germany, altering the position of Holy Roman Emperor to that elected; the Pope probably would have been annoyed but he wasn't in much of a position to complain.
Poland continued to develop in Livonia and even carried out some brief and inconclusive conflicts with the Kievan Rus'. That latter country was once again descending into relative chaos, what with its innumerable civil wars and the rise of regional centers such as the (feudal) Republic of Novgorod and Vladimir-Suzdal, the latter of which was even beginning to receive refugees from the impoverished south as Turkic raids increased in intensity.
Hungary remained religiously violent with few breaks; most of it was of course covered up as a succession dispute between Bela II and Ladislaus III, the former of which was pro-Catholic and received sporadic support from the Empire and the latter of which was the Voivode of Transylvania and had off and on assistance from the Romans.
It was clear that this condition of relative peace would not hold for long; titanic conflicts were in the offing again, and the world order would once again be redone in ways most of the contemporaries would never have expected.
The Ultimate Showdown of Ultimate Destiny.
I have a cunning plan, My Lord...
-S. Baldrick
The world was about to descend back into chaos in 1145; in an effort to lower the entropy of the world system, events were introduced that put off the colossal conflict for awhile, but the inexorable force of human catastrophe pushed the world towards the ultimate showdown that everyone knew would come despite all efforts to divert it.
First, to the Middle East, where instability seemed to be almost a regular part of life for most people. The inconclusive Caliphal invasion of the late 1120s had resulted an inherently unstable situation, with the new territories acquired being almost untenable. They did however make a dandy jump-off point for an invasion, which was imminent for the first half of the 1140s. In 1147 something occurred that put the Afdarid plans off balance: the Seljuk Empire burst into flames. Sultan Ahmed Sanjar of Great Seljuk had been crushing revolts off and on for most of his reign; a really major one arose suddenly in Mesopotamia despite all efforts to forestall it, and this one managed to somehow wipe out the army sent to quash it at the Battle of Taza Khurmati and continued to spread throughout the Seljuk western domains. Caliph Khilafa al-Badr quickly came to an agreement with the Khwarezmian Shah Aziz to divide the Seljuk domains between their two empires; as Ahmed Sanjar desperately tried to quell the revolts the vast army that had been assembled to invade the Roman Empire stormed into northern Mesopotamia and suddenly appeared to assist the rebels by smashing the Seljuk army that had been sent to destroy the rebels at Altin Kupri in the fall. Meanwhile, Shah Aziz led an army from his Khorasanian fastness across Persia to the Gulf coast at Hormirzad [10], then towards the Seljuk capital of Isfahan which was besieged and easily captured in the spring of 1148. For all intents and purposes, Seljuk resistance effectively collapsed after the fall of Isfahan, though holdouts remained scattered all throughout the former Empire that needed crushing for another six years. Great Seljuk was partitioned according to the prearranged scheme; the Caliphate acquired all of Great Seljuk west of the Zagros, including most of the important Gulf ports; the Khwarezmians naturally enough got everything to the east of that. The northwestern corner of the empire, in Adharbayjan [11], was awarded to the Caliphate because it'd have been absolutely absurd for the Khwarezmians to try controlling it.
The time required to crush the Seljuk holdouts was put to good use by the Roman Empire, who had had a regime change in 1149 from weak Andronicus I; the brief Maniakid dynasty was ended and with support from members of the civil service (especially everybody who hadn't been slaughtered by Alexius II) Manuel I Comnenus ascended the throne. While he did originally plan to go on a westward conquering spree in the true fashion of a latter-day Justinian, his adviser
megas logothetes [12] Michael Curcuas [13] dissuaded him in favor of preparations for war with the Caliphate, which was obviously enough the more major threat; as Khilafa fumed and crypto-Seljuks popped up all over Mesopotamia, Manuel was busy having fortresses made, increasing the size of the army, stockpiling grain and other resources and generally getting ready for a war. The Romans also did their best to make their own time; the Castilians were bribed to launch an invasion of Al-Andalus that was only repelled with difficulty by the weakened forces of the Caliphate in the west and sucked even more men from the projected invasion of Rome, and the Makkurans, still very much alive, mounted raids on southern Egypt and interfered with the admittedly weak attempts by the Caliphate to proselytize on the Horn of Africa. Disasters occurred in the Caliphal ranks; generals ended up mysteriously dead, while messengers got lost and failed to deliver their reports. This very intensive program of sabotage, disinformation, and distraction combined with the worry of subjugating the Seljuk domains bought the Romans an amazing ten years; by the time Khilafa was ready to unleash his 100,000 man army against the Romans in 1159, Manuel was as ready as he'd ever be.
That is, he was ready for anything save perhaps the horrid effects of Murphy's Law; when the main Roman army, with Manuel at its head, marched from Constantinople word came that the commander of the Lycandos and Mesopotamian defenses had been bribed and that his army had been disastrously defeated by the overwhelming forces of the Caliphate at Sebastea; marching further, Manuel received disturbing news that a secondary invasion force of 40,000 men was laying waste to Roman Armenia and had even briefly threatened Trebizond on its way into central Anatolia to assist the Caliph's main army. Overwhelmingly outnumbered, the Emperor reluctantly decided to retreat; pragmatism was the order of the day after all, and the chances against even one of these armies was pretty slim. [14] Manuel retreated through Anatolikon and Opsikion, pursuing (albeit reluctantly) a scorched earth policy in order to deprive the inbound Caliphal army of supplies. Already he and Michael Curcuas had begun to plan out the obvious and imminent defense of Constantinople; the navy, busy in another brushfire war against the Genoese, was unable to come to the capital's aid. Indeed, Manuel saw an excellent opportunity for a revised campaign: the Muslim hordes would be lured across the Bosphorus and crushed at the tail end of a poor supply route. The not-insignificant Caliphal navy swept away the brief vestiges of resistance off Lemnos and moved through the Hellespont to ferry the vast Caliphal army across the Marmara and Bosphorus; Khilafa, in a symbolic gesture of world conquest, even used many of his ships to build the famous bridge of boats across the Hellespont to carry a portion of his army to crush the resistance in the Chersonesus. Perhaps he had not known of the similar gesture by a certain
Shahanshah a millennium and a half before; perhaps he knew and didn't care. Whatever the reason, 120,000 Caliphal troops were soon across the Straits into Europe in the spring of 1160, and the truly epic siege of Constantinople began.
Naturally, the Theodosian Walls held against the impressive (but not very serious) first assault by the Caliphal forces in April; after this Sultan Khilafa began to search for more viable options. A siege was undesirable but apparently necessary; the time needed to crush the infidels would need to be decreased however possible. The navy was brought in to try to force open the Golden Horn in early May, but a combination of the famous chain as well as the sizable flotilla protecting the Horn repulsed the attackers. Naval assaults against the base of the Sea Walls also failed miserably, in great part to the use of Greek fire against the attackers, who not only had a good chance of being burned alive but also of having their ships destroyed as well. Briefly terrified by the prospect of having his vast army burnt to a crisp, the Caliph halted the attacks for a few weeks and decided to concentrate on blockading the city instead a policy with little effect and which took a good deal of toll on the attackers as well. Besides, in free Thrace a pro-Roman army was beginning to coalesce under the command of
strategos Andronicus Kontostephanus; this threat to the rear of the Caliphal army spurred the Muslim forces to great speed in making preparations for a bombardment by siege engines and a second assault. Inside the city itself, the Emperor and Patriarch Lucas Chrysoberges made the rounds of the wall every day, exhorting the defenders to greater heights and sometimes even taking part in the fighting themselves (the Patriarch was wounded by a Caliphal arrow and the Emperor slew three men while fighting on the wall during the first assault). Monks from the monasteries scattered around the city paraded about the perimeter with relics from Hagia Sophia and the Nea while nuns lent their aid as nurses to the wounded. By August Khilafa was finally ready to make his next assault; siege engines, including gigantic towers that reached the height of the walls and trebuchets that hurled half-ton stones every half minute, were assembled near the Theodosian Walls in support of the attack. On August 17, the Caliphal army began to bombard the walls, and the next day in the early morning the assault went forward, wave after wave of determined Muslim shock troops breaking on the Theodosian Walls, seeking for a breach in the defenses. It took six hours before a breach could be opened at the Mecoteixion, but when it was the besiegers swarmed through, unending numbers of attackers sweeping away the defenders that could be initially assembled and nearly breaking into the city. The Golden Gate was also breached and defenders had to move quickly to reinforce the men guarding the newly finished Pentapyrgion fortress. The Emperor himself led a cavalry charge into a mass of Caliphal infantry and miraculously came out alive with most of his men after flattening the troops of a fresh attacking wave; this bought time for the defenders to reorganize and begin forcing the Caliphal attackers back. Through the day of August 18, the fighting surged back and forth throughout the Exokionion [15] as charge and countercharge broke on the respective defenders. The fighting didn't even stop as night fell and only let up slightly because of lack of visibility there was a lunar eclipse, which briefly halted action. The Caliphal forces renewed their assault at five in the morning the following day after briefly organizing their troops, and launched once more towards the Constantinian Walls; the Romans had been reorganized as well, and as the Caliphal troops began their assault a cavalry charge sped out of the Blachernae Palace and rode down the Caliphal lines, smashing into the flank of the charging Muslim horde and breaking it apart. Almost as one, the attackers began to break and run back through yesterday's breaches; the cavalry, joined by a detachment led by Manuel himself, chased behind them and captured huge swathes of the fleeing Caliphal army. Khilafa himself was captured by the Roman klibanophorii; only thirty thousand of his men managed to escape across the Straits, only beating the Roman navy to the spot by a day.
With no Caliph and a revanchist Roman Empire on the borders (as well as an opportunistic Khwarezm), the Afdalid Caliphate would be expected to collapse quite rapidly. As usual, though, there was an impressive new leader that would salvage something out of the colossal wreck: Adid al-Faiz, one of the Caliphal commanders in Al-Andalus, saw his chance and eliminated his fellow generals in Iberia, thus removing any opposition to his unilateral truce and sale of some land to the Castilians; he then took the reinforced and battle hardened Andalusian army on a wild ride through North Africa, wiping out a tiny Genoese detachment that tried to seize Carthage and continuing to Egypt, where he defeated the grand vizier and asserted his claim to the title of Caliph. Riding north, he joined the pitiful remnants of the army that was to have conquered the Second Rome near Iconium, only a few miles away from the Romans themselves, who were led by Andronicus Kontostephanus and who were hopping mad. Skillfully avoiding an engagement, Adid managed to establish a breakwater of sorts in the Taurus during the winter of 1160-1 and then continued to withdraw southwards, past Antioch and into Syria. He then turned back into Mesopotamia and dealt a sharp defeat to a small Khwarezmian force that had been ordered to seize a slice of Caliphal territory and then practically gave away Mesopotamia and Adharbayjan anyway in exchange for an alliance against the Romans, who were spilling into northern Mesopotamia and Syria. With consummate skill Adid managed to hold onto Damascus after six years of off and on fighting around the city; similarly, the Romans couldn't advance any farther than Edessa into Mesopotamia after Shahanshah Il-Arslan brought up the main Khwarezmian army to resist the Roman advance; in 1168 Manuel was finally forced to sign a peace agreement with the Khwarezmians and Caliphals in exchange for retaining his conquests thus far, which included Beroea and Edessa and a slice of Adharbayjan. Thus was peace restored in the Middle East; it would obviously soon be broken, but the status quo was confirmed and protected. There would be no great united Muslim assault on the bastion of Christendom any time soon; the Romans had managed to defend their land and their livelihood and even retake much of the territory lost under Alexius II.
For the other major war that dominated the latter half of the twelfth century, we must turn to the British Isles, where a clearly expansionist Norman Ireland and a revanchist Norway were eyeing England and Scotland greedily. King Roger I passed on in 1157 but his son William I maintained his interest in conquest; Norway's Isle of Man seemed a tempting target, a juicy grape that was barely connected to the vine. The Irish launched a full-scale attack on the Isle of Man in 1164 and easily seized it; for his own part, King Haakon II, son of Sigurd, was overjoyed at the excuse to intervene in the British Isles and immediately sent an expeditionary force to combat the coalition of the Irish with the Alban King [16] Malcolm IV. The Scots launched a disorganized attack on the Norwegian possessions in northern Scotland, which was easily repulsed; the Norwegians in their turn decided to attack the stronger partner first and landed on the Irish coast at Derry; the Norman-Irish army drove them back, but Haakon landed a second force at Dublin, where many of the Norse citizens assisted the amphibious assault that easily carried the city and began to spread out into the rest of Ireland. While the Scots spent most of the 1160s fruitlessly attacking the Norwegian possessions in northern Alba and even lost control of Inverness to a brief Norwegian attack the Irish fought two major battles against the Norwegians at Kildare and Mullingar, neither of which was particularly decisive, primarily due to the poor Norman-Irish leadership. Towards 1170 the Irish finally began to force the Norwegians back towards Dublin; that year was dominated by a siege that ended when the Norwegians decided to abandon their position in Ireland to assist their new allies the English (under Harold V), who were launching a full-scale attack into southern Scotland, practically unopposed by the Scots themselves. The Irish mustered enough men and ships to actually invade Wales in 1173, which naturally was a minor blow to the English themselves; it was almost completely useless when viewed next to the near-complete collapse of the Scots after the successful English-Norwegian siege of Glasgow and the subsequent assassination of Malcolm IV by discontented nobles. Eventually (in 1175) the Irish and the Scots (as much as the latter even existed) agreed to a compromise peace; the Irish seized northern Wales and the Isle of Man, while the English annexed a large chunk of the Alban domains, bringing them north to the Cheviot Hills, and the Norwegians got to keep Inverness, Skye, Arran, and assorted islands along the coast that they added to their duchy of the Isles. Scotland stayed destabilized until at least 1180, for its own part, while the other three sides began to develop cunning plans of their own to readjust the situation in their favor.
France began to slowly stabilize and even centralize some in this period; the seemingly fruitless struggles of Louis VII had yielded fruit, first managing to seize a slice of English Normandy during the Scottish War in the 1170s and then recentralizing the Royal demesne; the Angevins were defeated outside Orleans and retreated for awhile, while swearing their revenge and determination to seize true power.
The Holy Roman Empire actually weakened somewhat during this period, as a succession of weak Styrian Emperors led to a final civil war between them and the Welf family [17] in the 1160s, during which Heinrich VII, called
der Löwe, or the Lion, triumphed over the legal Emperor Heinrich VI and forced the Pope to crown him Emperor; the highlights of his reign as of 1180 included mostly a renewed involvement with the struggle in Hungary, even briefly engaging some of Manuel Comnenus' Roman troops, though the HRE and the Romans didn't officially go to war again. Heinrich VII also exhibited no small interest in forcing the papacy under, and installed a series of weak Popes at Rome.
Castile had stayed somewhat quiet during this period; outside of grabbing a bit of Caliphal territory in Al-Andalus the Castilian kings confined themselves to dabbling in French affairs.
And once again, the stage was being set for a titanic conflict between the powers of Europe and the Middle East, one that might be slightly more decisive than before. Even as the nations of the western world were rearming for renewed conflict, rumors were received from travelers of a rising power in the East...one that would overthrow the existing order and disastrously alter the course of world events for centuries to come.
Next: House of the Rising Sun.
[1] = Ugh. I know that there are many elements missing from the puzzle that put the crusades together a much different Iberian situation, for one thing, plus no Turks in Anatolia, and a recent war with that same monarch who had in a certain other universe pled for mercenaries from Pope Urban II. This Crusade is much different than the other ones; it is mostly politically motivated with religious overtones instead of the other way around, and it was initiated by an Emperors tame Pope, not a firebrand wannabe who went the extra mile for the other Emperor and who would be subsequently hated by Greeks forever. In any event, this isnt the same thing at all, and the only reason Im calling it a crusade is because of the papal blessing and the similar target location.
[2] = The first time they were called Prussians being a good forty years prior to this. Just barely under the mark, eh?
[3] = OMD Burgundy, Alsace-Lorraine, most of Belgium, and a large chunk of northwestern France. Controlled by the HRE as of 1110.
[4] = OMD Gap of Ljubljana.
[5] = Due primarily to pro-Shiite policies despite the fact that the Seljuks themselves were Sunni; they weren't stupid, after all.
[6] = Commander-in-Chief of the Roman Army (
megas domestikos).
[7] = OMD Aleppo.
[8] = OMD Wallachia.
[9] = OTL Roger II of Sicily. That ought to explain his remarkable successes eh?
[10] = OMD Bandar Abbas.
[11] = Obviously enough OMD Azerbaijan.
[12] = Chief Accountant, but literally the man in charge of the civil service; equivalent to a chancellor.
[13] = Who didn't become a Patriarch, putting his unique talents to decidedly better use than as the puppet of the Roman Emperors.
[14] = Manuel was in OTL very rash (or at least overenergetic as compared with his father and grandfather); his experiences in being hunted and almost killed by his brother and even briefly cast out of the Imperial line of succession affected him deeply, somewhat like what happened to Constantine VII a while earlier. Also, he wasn't infected by the knightly spirit due to the lack of a real series of crusades. Makes for a much better Emperor, IMHO.
[15] = The area between the Theodosian and Constantinian Walls of Constantinople; basically a suburb.
[16] = King of Scotland.
[17] = Because the Staufens were disastrously destroyed during the War of the Freisinger League.