Future Wars

[Ajidica]

So the ROK is not part of Korea?

 

[GhostWriter16]

So the ROK is not part of Korea?

The ROK is already liberated. We took care of that 50 years ago. Time to finish the job

 

[carmen510]

Mostly resources. In the next century, I expect the following to at least be a major issue, if not fought over:

Oil, water, Indium, Phosphorus, Platinum, Tantalum, and Gallium.

Other reasons include: Religion, displacement of populations due to climate change, nationalism, major powers trying to exert their influences over smaller nations, and ethnic hatred.

 

[Dachs]

You guys who are arguing that resource wars will become the wave of the future look like you stepped out of a time portal to the 1970s.

 

[Cutlass]

Rare earth elements.

http://www.moneymorning.com.au/20100713/rare-earths-looking-rarer-by-the-minute.html

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2CpFYCqZz8&feature=related

Pretty much already building up political tension because the stuff in Greenland isn't being mined yet and getting infrastructure online will take some time.

We could take Greenland with a boy scout troop.

 

[eduhum]

WTH? Spain and Morocco? Are you serious? Morocco knows pretty damn well that they have nothing to do against the spanish army, not to mention that Spain is a NATO member or that, even in the remote case Morocco wins, they have absolutely nothing to get from it (resources & stuff).

BTW, what do you mean with "late future"?

Firstly, I just think that maybe it would happen, because: Before the entry of the EU, Spain didn't have problems with one of it's most important activities: fishing. But with the entry of the EU, Spain had to share fishing resources. The EU and Spain had a little conflict with Morocco regarding Spanish fishing territories. When the conflict of Perejil island in 2002 arrived, Morocco had a secret treaty with the EU regarding the fishing territories. Morocco would give a little of his territories and the EU wouldn't anything with that conflict. And that's what just happened. Also, the treaty that allied USA and Morocco is one of the most ancient of the foundation of the USA.
http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anexo:Países_por_tamaño_de_sus_Fuerzas_armadas just look position 28 and 31

 

[Silurian]

Dyer fan?

Whats a dyer fan

 

[El_Machinae]

Climate change, water scarcity, and ecological/economic stress.
These three factors will encourage the tightening of borders. Tightening of borders will lead to arming of borders. Arming of borders will lead to military conflict.

 

[SS-18 ICBM]

Problem?

Logistical feasibility.

 

[Ayatollah So]

You guys who are arguing that resource wars will become the wave of the future look like you stepped out of a time portal to the 1970s.

This. Although, within (more than between) really poor countries, resource wars will probably continue. But richer countries have no reason to fight over resources when it's much more efficient to simply buy them or develop alternatives.

Therefore, (being rich-country-centric myself) I say that irrationality will be the leading cause of future wars.

Not that there's anything new about that.

 

[ANDL33]

Next major war will be between China and Japan over those gas reserves on that island where the fisherman was kidnapped by Japan.

 

[Terxpahseyton]

IMO it mostly depends on how resource scarcity / climate change will influence people's wealth / the economy.
If the economy gets hit in the stomach (I mean really hit, not comparable fun like the financial crisis), the likeliness of war will drastically rise. If it will manage, people and their governments are more likely to stay civilized.

And start a war with the US?

I am pretty certain in the end the US will release Taiwan to China (maybe for NK?).

 

[Atlas14]

1. Water
2. Border conflicts
3. Immigration
4. Oil

 

[Eat_Up_Martha]

Whats a dyer fan

Gwynne Dyer, guy wrote a book concerned mostly with potential conflicts caused by population migration (and other matters) due to climate change. Just figured you might have read it.

 

[The Imp]

If the world does not develop alternatives to resources necessarily for a technologically advanced society that will run out in the short to medium term, a greater amount of war over those resources would be inevitable. Also, I suspect that climate related wars will be fought in the third world over things like water and food.

Besides more exotic wars such as these, I suspect that a grab-bag of wars will be fought in the third world over one stupid bauble or another(as is the case today). Perhaps the US and China will duke it out over a similar bauble. Also, maybe in a fit of desperation, North Korea will invade the south. I don't think the last two are very likely, but they are definitely possible. Don't forget how interconnected Germany and the UK were on the eve of WW1. Economic interconnectness only goes so far in assuaging irrational fits of war-mongering.

 

[Shaihulud]

In future wars will be fought over ideas, the same as it is done now.

 

[bhsup]

The Kansas - Missouri border war of 2056, in which Missouri annexes Wyandotte, Johnson, Miami, Linn, and some other counties for their own good... oh, and burns Lawrence, KS to the ground again. What is it over? The fact that Kansas exists

 

[killmetwice]

3. Immigration

will anybody care to explain how this will be a factor?

 

[Silurian]

will anybody care to explain how this will be a factor?

Country A is richer than B.
Country B is hit by repeated floods and a large number of people cross the border.
Country A is heavy handed sending them back.
Shooting starts

 

[Luckymoose]

Seems like all my posts in this thread ninja disappeared. How unfortunate.