Coronavirus: awaiting for the new wave

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I am not quite sure how that would work. Would showing that white people are older or have better access to healthcare be an indication of LESS racism?
Better access to healthcare can be determined by economical reasons, therefore the cause can actually be social inequalities. If there are more poors among blacks and latinos and poors have worse access to healthcare, then blacks and latinos would have worse access to healthcare because they are poorer. However, maybe poors among white people have an equally bad access to healthcare, in which case the problem wouldn't be racism, but poverty.

Anyway, we can't really know considering the study limits itself to race groups without taking in considerations any other factor.
 
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Which can totally be.
If you vaccinate a big bunch of 80+ years old people, some are going to die after the vaccination. Just by chance :dunno:.
(they need to pay attention IF there is a pattern though)
Probability of death in next year by age and gender. U.S. actuarial stats (2016), no accounting for coronavirus.
Age Male Female
80 0.058206 0.042771
81 0.064581 0.047992
82 0.071657 0.053678
83 0.079465 0.059810
84 0.088141 0.066584
85 0.097854 0.074258
86 0.108747 0.083053
87 0.120919 0.093123
88 0.134425 0.104540
89 0.149273 0.117305

I love to count. :)
I also helped a friend yesterday to reply to his aunt, which had forwarded some fake vaccine news.
And man... that's tough, even for me, who's in the field.
Many trained professionals have huge difficulties with interpreting medical test results.
I don't know if there is much anyone can do to stop the spread of fake stats, or dubious interpretations. Murdoch's vile journalists would continue to deliberately use incorrect interpretations for sensationalist headlines that can dupe 90% of the public.

I doubt that re-vamping Bayes rule is going to help with science communication on social media.
 
Some interesting statements in yesterday's Guardian article:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...zeneca-confirms-uk-has-prior-claim-on-vaccine

Head of AstraZeneca rejects calls for UK vaccine to be diverted to EU

I will highlight a few:

AstraZeneca’s first supply contract was signed with the UK in May last year.

Ministers were keen to ensure that a UK company commercialised the Oxford University technology,
rejecting an alternative deal with US giant Merck. Insiders at the time were worried that Donald Trump,
the former US president, might put pressure on Merck to halt supplies to the UK.

So much for the claims that Boris Johnson and co were in cahoots with and trusted Donald Trump.


The company has created separate supply chains in every major market the vaccine will be
available – but unlike in the EU, the UK operation is already established.

So someone's contingency planning is working.

The European commission did not deny claims on Tuesday that during heated talks EU officials had asked
the Anglo-Swedish company to redirect doses made in the UK to make up for problems at a Belgian plant.

Reuters news agency reported that the EU had asked AstraZeneca whether it could divert doses produced
in the UK until at least March but it had not responded. Negotiations are continuing.


While at the same time, the EU is telling Pfizer to stop exports of its vaccine from the EU.


And the Germans are elsewhere arguing that any approval for the AstraZeneca vaccine should exclude the over 65s.
 
There is some odd shenanigans going on with their meeting, with the EU saysing AZ walked out, and AZ saying we are going to meet in a bit. Sorry about the source, I know the metro is only a little above the mail, but it is the best I can find quickly:
Metro said:
AstraZeneca has denied pulling out of vaccine talks with the European Union and said they plan to meet officials from the bloc later today in Brussels. The comments came after EU officials said the pharmaceutical company would not be attending the meeting to discuss delayed vaccine supplies to the bloc. AstraZeneca said on Friday it would not meet its contractual delivery commitments to the EU due to ‘reduced yields’ in the supply chain. In response, the EU Commissioner for health, Stella Kyriakides blasted the announcement as ‘not acceptable’, and added that the EU would ‘take any action required to protect its citizens and rights’.
 
If I was AZ, my line to the EU would be very simple.

We have submitted our vaccine to you for approval.

We are prepared to have our medical and technical people discuss our submission of the vaccine for approval.

We are not prepared to discuss roll out until the EU has approved it, and for whom and with what conditions.

In the event of it being approved, we will supply it as it is available at the previously agreed contract price.

If the EU does not approve it and wants to cancel its contract; that is fine; we will sell it direct to member
state governments willing to buy.

If the EU wants to take legal action and confiscate our apparently inadequate Belgium facilities; we, and
perhaps many of our rivals too, will take care to diversify our investments away from the EU's reach.
 
Man, I hope this does not become a thing: Wrexham vaccine plant evacuated over suspicious package

A plant where doses of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine are produced and stored has been evacuated after receiving a suspicious package.
Vaccine producer Wockhardt UK said: "Upon expert advice we have partially evacuated the site."
First Minister Mark Drakeford said he was working with police and the military to find out more.
The BBC understands that the bomb disposal unit is on site.
John Roberts, who runs CMS Wrexham Ltd, next door to the plant, said he heard a "big bang" at about 11:35 GMT.
"We're next door to Wockhardt. Three of us were talking then we heard a hell of an explosion or a bang," he said.
"I went outside, couldn't see anything. I looked the other side and two blokes were on the roof.
"The next thing the police had blocked off the road and were looking in the bushes."
 
I just asked a friend living in Amsterdam if she has noticed the curfew riots. She says not really, but when she went to her BF yesterday, she took a bus full of policemen. The riots for a 9-4:30 curfew are really ridiculous o_O.

The curfew is already widely accepted or desired among the Dutch population with 80% of the opinon that it is acceptable.
The 16% against a curfew are found in the populist rightwing, rightwing bible belt (SGP) and youth.
https://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/meer-moeite-met-een-gast-dan-met-avondklok/

The reactions on the riots were imo devastating for the rioteers and the politicians who "encouraged" it on social media... before the tide changed and they squirm now in U-turns.
I guess we will see some minor riots still for some days incl political disputes on the measure and rioteers, but the general reaction so far is that the curfew is only more solid in place. And that's good news. We need it with the British virus strain now around 30% of all new cases (from 8% two weeks ago)

Also as reaction of the people helping the victims of the riots:
From NOS:
A new [public] piano for the railway station in Eindhoven, residents of cities cleaning up rubbish, thousands of euros to pay for the damage to the car of 'grandma Tonnie' and more than 100,000 euros for Maaike Neuféglise's Primera [shop]. In recent days, several citizen initiatives have emerged to help those affected by the curfew riots.
"The riots provoke a lot of indignation. A large part of the Netherlands thinks that a border is being crossed," explains behavioral scientist Otto Adang. "These people want to make it clear that they do not belong to those perpetrators of violence. They do this by expressing their dissatisfaction with words or by setting up positive actions to help victims."
In general there are many people in the Netherlands who want to help anyway, for example by volunteering or giving money to a good cause, says Adang. "Help is already in the Dutch DNA."
If you know that your opinion is more widely shared in society, you are more likely to do something.
Because many people on social media think that 'this is not okay', more people are rolling up their sleeves, says Adang. "If you know that your opinion is more widely shared in society, you are more likely to do something. Then it becomes 'us' versus 'them' and you want to show in as many ways as possible that you are the others in your group. want to help."

Youth Urk [fishermen community] positive in the news
One of the initiatives set up is a crowdfunding campaign for a new corona test street in Urk. The 21-year-old Jan Baarssen started an action two days ago that has already yielded almost 10,000 euros. "The young people of Urk have been in the news so negatively in recent days, I wanted to show with this campaign that the youth are also doing good things here", he says.
Baarssen was there when the test street in Urk was set on fire last Saturday evening. "We were there with hundreds of cars to protest against the curfew, but when that fire broke out the atmosphere suddenly turned grim. Nobody wanted that, so many people went home."
So far, reactions to the campaign have been mostly positive. The first thousands of euros that were donated mainly came from Urkers, but now amounts are also coming from all over the country. "There are people who say that the damage must be paid by the perpetrators, but I would like to help the GGD. The police should deal with the perpetrators. I have already been in contact with the GGD and they are very happy with the action."
The crowdfunding campaign will remain open in the coming days, says Baarssen. It is still unclear exactly what the money raised will be spent on. "But it goes to the GGD anyway."

Sylvana IJsselmuiden has also raised money. She committed herself to 'Grandma Tonnie'. That 78-year-old woman was crying in front of the Broadcast Brabant camera, because her car was completely destroyed. "Earlier I started a crowdfunding campaign for 'Grandpa K'nex and noticed how much I can do with my reach (350,000 followers on Instagram, ed.). When I saw this video, my heart broke. I wanted to help again."

It is so nice to see how people want to help each other.
Sylvana IJsselmuiden IJsselmuiden placed a call on Instagram and within 5 minutes her entire inbox was full. "People who wanted to build a garage for her, donate money or make her car. It's so nice to see how people want to help each other." In the end, enough money was raised to have Grandma Tonnie's car made this afternoon. And then there is even money left. "She will use the remaining money to help affected entrepreneurs from the region. That is great, isn't it?"

Footballclub supporters
It is important to consider the fact that the help can be well-intentioned but does not have to have the right effect, says behavioral scientist Adang. With this he refers to the football supporters who took to the streets in several cities yesterday to 'protect their city'. "This is of course a positive gesture and probably well-intentioned, but this should only be done under the direction of the police and municipality. The supporters must really adhere to instructions."
Thanks to the help, Grandma Tonnie has a new car, Urk may get a new test street, there will soon be a new piano at Eindhoven Central and countless entrepreneurs will be supported. "That help is so beautiful and desirable. We have to be a bit better for each other, especially in this period. Everyone is already having such a difficult time," says IJsselmuiden.

Insurance
If entrepreneurs are insured, the damage to their property will be compensated, said Richard Weurding, director of the Dutch Association of Insurers, earlier. Damage to private property such as cars is also often covered, although that depends on the type of insurance. Destruction in public space, such as traffic signs and bus shelters that have been destroyed, is not insured.

https://nos.nl/artikel/2366198-rell...ts-anders-veel-initiatieven-om-te-helpen.html
 
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Last week the managers of two hospitals from my hometown resigned from their position because media reported that they queue jump for getting the vaccine early than they were supposed to.
A investigation was started in order to see what happened
Today media reports that in one of those hospitals, 16 people who are not employee, got the vaccine: syndicalist who where at a meeting, priest, vending machine guy, couriers...
 
so it seems EU prepaid 339 million euros , planned for application , troubles in supply and 3 or 4 EU members have publicly called on the EU to find vaccines ... Yeah , Freeeeeeedooooooom . While Boris Johnson tells the people who lost like a hundred thousand of their loved ones that he shares their pain . Now not an ally of Donald Trump , too .
 
The Argentine misgovernment promised that there would 4.7 million doses of the Holy Russian Vaccine™ by now but so far they've just managed to get in the shipment of the second half of the initial 300,000. Attempts to send in a second flight for a further 600,000 are… failing. For some reason the plane hasn't taken off yet but we're assured that it will, maybe today.

It's still a horrendous failure, but nothing other could have been expected from a government that specifically claims to have no plan.
Official plans in Russia is to release ~2 mln doses in "civil circulation" by the end of this month. Let's hope 600k doses for Argentina are counted separately.
Government is strangely quiet about total number of vaccinated people. Latest reported numbers were two weeks ago.
Though I can say that at least in Moscow getting vaccine is not a problem, it's free and there is no lines or shortages.
Looks like people are simply not bother to get it. We need more volunteers!
 
Is there any track of the number of dead from using the various vaccines?
Given up to now the users are very old, it isn't that unexpected. Still, not entirely in the spirit of first doing no harm :devil:
 
Before concluding this is necessarily about racism, a more detailed study including other factors such as age or access to health infrastructures should be considered as well. We all know that social inequalities are brutal in the US.

I don't like this current trend in the US to consider that everything in life is about races. It feels like if Americans are forgetting we are all humans in the first place, not some kinds of sub-species. To me this is already a racist perception of Humanity and I don't want to live in such a world.
Actually, it can be a less direct consequence of racism, as I posted a few weeks ago regarding minority doctors, in brief: underlying conditions such as poor coverage, chronic malnutrition, undiagnosed diseases and other such hallmarks of poverty will sho a racist slant when poverty can be tied to structural racism.

So basically the race in question is an artificially weakened subgrouping of the human species.
Oesterheld must be turning in his grave.
Now that Quino's gone too, be vigilant and don't let them take Mafalda as well!
Well, yes, Oesterheld was ‘forcefully disappeared’ by a ‘task force’ back in the day when those who now rule the country were busy profiting off the dirty war and helping the disappearers in the first place.
Vaccination can be stressful enough for some 80+ old people to die.
As the data from Norway and, ahem, my own experience shows.
You're not posting from beyond the grave, are you?
 
Official plans in Russia is to release ~2 mln doses in "civil circulation" by the end of this month. Let's hope 600k doses for Argentina are counted separately.
Government is strangely quiet about total number of vaccinated people. Latest reported numbers were two weeks ago.
Though I can say that at least in Moscow getting vaccine is not a problem, it's free and there is no lines or shortages.
Looks like people are simply not bother to get it. We need more volunteers!
I've just found out that the plane did finally set off last night but there was a slight error in their calculations. They're just going to bring 200,000 doses.

Also interesting is that the quasi-president of Argentina said that it had been promised 4,700,000 doses. So far it has received 300,000. In the debates for the presidential election in Ecuador Correa's stooge candidate says that Argentina has promised Ecuador 4,400,000 doses. Of course it was denied immediately by everyone involved, but it does make one think, eh?
 
I've just found out that the plane did finally set off last night but there was a slight error in their calculations. They're just going to bring 200,000 doses.

Also interesting is that the quasi-president of Argentina said that it had been promised 4,700,000 doses. So far it has received 300,000. In the debates for the presidential election in Ecuador Correa's stooge candidate says that Argentina has promised Ecuador 4,400,000 doses. Of course it was denied immediately by everyone involved, but it does make one think, eh?
It's arithmetics of complex numbers.
Argentina gets real part of the number, Ecuador the imaginary one.
 
a+bi, that kind of thing? Hmmmm, could be. It is, after all, the root of all negatives.
 
It does have a pharmaceutical industry. But it is not producing Covid-19 vaccines. Several decades of intentionally defunding anything but politicians' war chests tends to do that.
 
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