Election 2024 Part III: Out with the old!

Who do you think will win in November?


  • Total voters
    101
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.
Here we go again...
The Minnesota GOP and Republican National Committee are demanding an investigation after a noncitizen came forward claiming he received a primary ballot in the mail without registering to vote.

In what was described as "potentially not an isolated incident," a noncitizen, lawfully present in Minnesota, reported to the state Republican Party that he did not register to vote, or request a ballot, yet is currently on the Minnesota voter roll and received a primary ballot in the mail. The individual claimed he does not know how the ballot was sent and is concerned it may affect residence or future citizenship eligibility.

Let me post this to counter the misinformation being pushed by some, in the country...
There are 86 days until Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5.

But if Americans vote like they did in the last two election cycles, most of them will have already cast a ballot before the big day.

Early voting starts as soon as Sept. 6 for eligible voters, with seven battleground states sending out ballots to at least some voters the same month.

The facts are that the Democrat advantage in registered voters has been shrinking over the past several election cycles (basically gone) and the proportion of Democrat supporting voters in groups like Hispanics and Blacks have been decreasing. At the same time mainstream media has virtually become a propaganda arm of the Democrat party. Those facts suggest that we could be looking at another historic polling error with the Democrats heading for an unanticipated shellacking during this coming electoral season, barring any election skullduggery.
 
Cc @Sommerswerd & @Hygro

In the context of the election something we haven't talked about is covid killing off a lot of older people, who tend to be both Republicans and high-propensity voters...there was an actual peer-reviewed paper published that found covid measurably affected Trump's vote in 2020 compared to 2016 looking at the county level.

Given that the pandemic isn't really over, and that death rates have been markedly different by partisan affiliation ever since the vaccines became widely available, does anyone think there might be a covid-effect on the vote in 2024?
Man, never knew I love covid.

I think Trump's been able to expand MAGA with gen X pretty successfully, too, partly due to the above. Gained 3 pts between Clinton and Biden, and though I've yet to see data by generation in current polls, by intuition, I think he may have made further gains.
Gen X are boomer lite anyway.
 
Talking to White House reporters Sunday, Harris said she would be rolling out her official policy platform “next week”. She said: “It’ll be focused on the economy and what we need to do to bring down costs.”

Intriguing.

There's opportunity there, both to cement her position or blunder it away.

She is the beneficiary of a support that has coalesced around her simply as an opponent to Trump. Specifying policy may boost her, or diminish her appeal. I'm surprised she's doing it, really. Prices are the correct focus, though.

Probably won't be too ambitious, which, while advantageous in the present election, really risks furthering continued decline in the public's belief in the political class.
 
Last edited:
Have you forgotten...

As someone who lives near Minneapolis - and until last summer worked in downtown Minneapolis - I can confirm Minneapolis was not destroyed and did not "burn". Some buildings in the inner suburbs were set on fire and there was some light vandalism / graffiti in downtown Minneapolis.

*Insert Al-Shabubba, Meal Team 6, or Gravy Seals as preferred.
 
Gen X are boomer lite anyway.
Yeah, there's some truth to that, inasmuch as Millennials are Gen X lite, Gen Z are Millennials lite (to the extent you distinguish the two), Gen Alpha are Gen Z lite... and so on...

But yes again, Gen X is getting old... and many of us are forgetting...
 
Last edited:
Gahaha I'd not heard that one before.
Haha, I actually meant to remove that line. It was a holdover from an old version of the post!
 
The bidding has commenced. Kalamity matched Trump's "no tax on tips". This should get interesting. Reparations are coming.
 
The facts are that the Democrat advantage in registered voters has been shrinking over the past several election cycles (basically gone) and the proportion of Democrat supporting voters in groups like Hispanics and Blacks have been decreasing. At the same time mainstream media has virtually become a propaganda arm of the Democrat party. Those facts suggest that we could be looking at another historic polling error with the Democrats heading for an unanticipated shellacking during this coming electoral season, barring any election skullduggery.

cope harder
 
cope harder
There are some points that are true about it though, that the Democrats are losing ground with some constituencies. I’m not sure to what extent there is the “shy Tory” factor, but I’m not going to call the race based on opinion polls even before the Democrats have had their convention.
 
They're picking up the bouge tho.

Incumbency might be getting saved by commodities prices. Corn hasn't been so low since early 2020, and things didn't cost then what they cost now. Those 5 buck meals at McDonalds making a return(like the McRib does when pork prices are in the crapper) make a better splash line.
 
Last edited:
Fast food inflation and groceries prices already are. But I guess we can hope? :lol: Prep with some dietary fiber. Solid advice.
 
I think if Harris begins with a scripted diatribe against Trump’s answers, it’s only going to look fake, forced, and her appeal will go down.
All debate answers are rehearsed. They even rehearse trying not to make them sound rehearesed.

And this strategy depends precisely on the fact that all of Trump's claims are "scripted."
 
Congratulations are not compliments.
Aww...:sad: c'mon, be fun
You are of course correct on physical stances, but best to let you say it from the appropriate class, or we'll get another pause.
Meh, I think even you can get away with the occasional wee wee joke ;)
But yes, I expect your pride to at least hold up in a stiff breeze. We've accomplished a major policy goal of much of the nation.
Heheh... you said stiff
I guess it's time to go back to those videos Formaldehyde used to love that show when you reduce the birth rates of social abominations the crime rates improve for the worthy. Moar funding!
You mean Freakonomics? Or something else? I will grant you that there is a degree of tension between what communities are most impacted by abortion laws and how, versus political claims of advocacy on the part of those same communities. One of my takeawys from that particular dynamic is that abortion is a complicated issue... one more reason I think that letting the pregnant woman make the call adds some much needed clarity and simplicity to something that is already way complicated.
There are some points that are true about it though, that the Democrats are losing ground with some constituencies. I’m not sure to what extent there is the “shy Tory” factor, but I’m not going to call the race based on opinion polls even before the Democrats have had their convention.
"Shy tory" is absolutely real... in our (Murican) case it would be shy Republicans or more specifically shy Trump supporters, but the point is the same and its definitely a legitimate factor.
Those 5 buck meals at McDonalds making a return(like the McRib does when pork prices are in the crapper) make a better splash line.
Five bucks?!?:confused: McDonalds is running $12 a meal pretty much everywhere nowadays. I don't see how they could get to $5. I just took the family on a car-trip to Tampa... about 1,260 miles and 22 hours of driving each way including stops... and every time we hit Mickey D's it was $12 per meal, regardless of the state... brutal.:shake: That part about McRib's limited nature being pinned to pork prices was something I just found out this year. Before I thought it was purely a marketing tactic.
 
Last edited:
I dunno, they aren't around here. Have to go to Wendy's to see that sort of 5 dollar deal, and just bleh. We've cut out fast food almost 100% for 2 years now. If I'm going to drop 10+ dollars, we're going to sit down and eat something that was just cooked rather than something that got dethawed squished out of a Panera-pouch. The chains can go **** themselves, I'm not playing. The bartenders are starting to have mercy in corn country with the drinks and extras, they've been outearning the "more traditionals" for a while running now.

Not the first time I said stiff, either. Go back if you want, it was all about the glorious accomplishments of our menfolk.
 
I have to give the GOP some DEI credit -their nominee for Vice President is a cross dresser in an interracial marriage.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top Bottom